Johnston County, North Carolina Court Filings Intelligence

• Filing volume holding steady (-2.9%) — last 3 complete months (1046 filings) vs prior 3 complete months (1077 filings). Excludes the current calendar month (in progress).
• Max gross cap rate 6.2% at HUD Fair Market Rent — $21,000/year (2BR FMR × 12) on the $338,180 median estimated market value. Section-8-eligible rent ceiling; real-market rent typically exceeds FMR; excludes operating costs (taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, management).
• 53.4% of filings are Lien — the dominant lead category in Johnston County during the observed window.

About Johnston County

Johnston County is a county located in the U.S. state of North Carolina. As of the 2020 census, its population was 215,999. Its county seat is Smithfield. Johnston County is included in the Raleigh-Cary, NC Metropolitan Statistical Area, which is also included in the Raleigh-Durham-Cary, NC Combined Statistical Area, which had an estimated population of 2,368,947 in 2023.

Source: Wikipedia

At a glance

Filing type breakdown

Each row is a distinct case as recorded on the county docket.

Monthly filing activity

Each row reflects new filings entering the dataset that month, after ownership verification. Most recent month may be partial.

Geographic concentration by ZIP

Top 8 ZIPs in Johnston County account for 0.2% of all tracked filings, showing where distressed real estate activity clusters.

Based on filings with a parseable property address (0% of Johnston County filings).

Property value distribution

Source: third-party property enrichment (25% coverage on Johnston County filings). Median $338,180; mean $350,949.

Day-of-week filing pattern

Filings show some weekend activity, suggesting after-hours electronic filing. Computed for 5155 filings with a parseable date.

Housing stock + distress signals

Underlying housing stock and distress indicators across all 88314 Johnston County housing units, from US Census ACS 5-year data. National reference values shown for context.

Source: US Census Bureau American Community Survey (ACS 2023 5-year). National reference values are ACS 2022 5-year US totals. Why these matter: vacancy rate is the strongest single proxy for distressed inventory; mortgage-carrying share defines the risk pool exposed to rate environment; pre-1940 stock signals deferred maintenance and renovation opportunity; senior population correlates with probate pipeline depth.

Rent benchmark (HUD Fair Market Rent)

HUD sets Fair Market Rents at the metro area level — the same FMRs apply to every county within the metro. Johnston County sits within the Raleigh-Cary, NC (FY 2026). Used to set Section 8 voucher amounts; investors use it as a defensible rent-estimate floor for buy-to-rent underwriting.

Source: US Department of Housing and Urban Development, Fair Market Rents (2026). 40th-percentile gross rent including utilities. Why this matters: Section-8-eligible tenants are a baseline demand floor for rental inventory at these price points; FMR is the official ceiling for voucher-eligible rents.

New construction (market momentum)

Annual building permits filed in Johnston County from the US Census Building Permits Survey. Trend signal on whether new housing demand is accelerating or contracting in this market.

Source: US Census Bureau Building Permits Survey, annual cumulative data. Why this matters: permits trending up signals strong demand for new inventory; permits contracting at the same time foreclosure activity rises indicates broader market softening (deals price differently). Multifamily share shows whether the market is densifying or holding to single-family stock.

Macro context: state home prices and national delinquency

Johnston County filings should be read against the broader housing-market backdrop. North Carolina state home-price trend and the national mortgage-delinquency rate are the two macro signals most directly relevant to foreclosure exposure.

Sources: Federal Housing Finance Agency state house price indices (FRED series NCSTHPI); Federal Reserve Board, Mortgage Delinquency 30+Day Rate on Single-Family Residential Mortgages (FRED series DRSFRMACBS). Updated quarterly. Free public data.

Filing velocity by case type

How each distress category is trending — are foreclosures accelerating while divorces cool, or vice versa? This breakdown is only possible with direct court-record data.

Trend = recent 2-3 month volume vs prior 2-3 months (current partial month excluded). Positive = accelerating; negative = cooling.

Seasonal filing patterns

Court filings peak in Dec and are lowest in Mar. The 2.4x peak-to-trough ratio suggests strong seasonal patterns — investors who time their outreach around Dec can reach more distressed homeowners.

Average filings per calendar month across all observed years. Relative column shows each month as a percentage of the peak month (Dec), with a 2.4x peak-to-trough ratio.

ZIP code distress hotspots

Distress is geographically dispersed across 8 ZIP codes, with no single area dominating.

Top 8 of 8 ZIP codes with filings.

Non-resident owner analysis

Most filings (100%) involve owner-occupied properties. The relatively low absentee rate suggests distress is primarily hitting homeowners, not institutional investors.

Non-resident = owner's mailing address differs from the property address. Could indicate out-of-state landlords, inherited estates, second homes, or in-transition properties.

Distress composition and shifts

Lien share is rising. Probate, Eviction share is declining. Low diversity — distress is dominated by one or two case types, suggesting a concentrated driver.

Distress diversity score: 1.42 (Shannon entropy; higher = more diverse distress sources). "Recent" = last 2 complete months; "Earlier" = all prior months.

Property Value Profile

The median assessed value of properties in court filings is $338,180. Other filings involve the highest-value properties (median $358,270), while Probate filings trend lower (median $279,070). The largest segment (69.9%) falls in the $250K - $500K range.

Based on county assessor records for 1306 properties with court filings (25.2% of total filings). Values are tax-assessed amounts, not market listing prices.

Distress Capital Analysis

$457,343,240 in assessed property value is currently tied up in 1306 court-filed properties. Lien filings represent the largest capital pool ($318,545,380 across 880 properties).

Capital at Risk by Filing Type

Based on 1306 properties with assessor valuations (25.2% of 5173 total filings). Values are county assessor estimates. Equity calculated from estimated value vs outstanding mortgage balance where available.

Market Absorption & Turnover Analysis

5,153 court filings tracked with 0 resolved (0.0% absorption rate). The court system is accumulating cases faster than they resolve, creating a growing backlog of 5,153 active cases.

Resolution by Case Type

Absorption rate measures the percentage of filed cases that have reached a terminal resolution (judgment, dismissal, settlement, or sale). A low absorption rate indicates a growing backlog of active cases in the court system. Resolution timing based on 0 resolved cases out of 5153 total filings.

Case Aging & Stall Analysis

772 cases (15.0%) have been active for over a year without resolution. 268 filings in the last <30 days represent fresh opportunities.

Case aging computed from filing date to present for unresolved cases. Resolution classified from court docket entries (judgments, settlements, dismissals, sheriff sales). Cases with a resolution event are removed from the stall count.

Quarterly Filing Volume Trends

Filing trends across 9 comparable quarters show 4,731 tracked filings in Johnston County. Most recent quarter (2026 Q2: 1,087) was stable vs prior (2026 Q1: 1,053, +3.2%). Probate shows the largest composition shift, declining share from 98.1% to 12.7%.

Composition shift: Probate filings are declining share, moving from 98.1% to 12.7% of total filings (-85.3 percentage points).

Only comparable quarters shown (collection ramp-up periods excluded). Filing dates from verified court records. Current partial quarter excluded from trend calculations.

Property Value Distribution

The median property value in distressed filings is $340,905, with the largest concentration (55.9%) in the $300K–$500K range. Lien filings have the highest median value ($352,610) while Probate filings are lowest ($273,150).

Assessed property values from county assessor records for 1,206 properties (23.3% of total filings). Values reflect tax-assessed amounts, not market price.

Repeat litigation patterns in Johnston County

Of 4,913 unique property owners in court filings, 179 (3.6%) appear in multiple cases, including 31 with 3 or more filings. The most active repeat filer has 13 cases spanning 6 months. Pre-Foreclosure cases have the highest repeat rate at 9.3%.

Repeat rate by case type

Analysis based on 4,913 unique owner names across court filings. Repeat filers are property owners appearing in 2 or more distinct cases.

Serial distressed properties in Johnston County

Of 839 unique properties in court filings, 87 (10.4%) have multiple filings (averaging 2.3 filings per property). Average time between repeat filings: 4 months. Other properties have the highest repeat rate at 21.4%.

Serial distress rate by case type

Analysis based on 839 unique property addresses across court filings. Serial distressed properties have 2 or more distinct case filings at the same address.

Methodology and data sources

• Court filings are collected directly from Johnston County court records, which are public information.
• This dataset is the court-filing archive as collected from the county docket. The owner-of-record match and the entity-owner screen are applied to delivered leads, not to these filing counts.
• Property value figures come from third-party enrichment (25% coverage on this dataset).
• Individual case data, defendant names, and property addresses are not published. Reports show aggregated statistics only.
• The methodology page at /reports/methodology documents data sources, sample sizes, and known limitations in detail.
• This report was generated 2026-08-03 from the live database. Numbers reflect the dataset at that moment.

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