Burke County, North Carolina Court Filings Intelligence
Live court-record analysis of property-related filings (foreclosure, probate, divorce, partition, guardianship). Data sourced direct from Burke County court dockets. Updated 2026-08-03. See methodology.
- Filing volume holding steady (+2.1%) — last 3 complete months (240 filings) vs prior 3 complete months (235 filings). Excludes the current calendar month (in progress).
- Max gross cap rate 9.1% at HUD Fair Market Rent — $13,140/year (2BR FMR × 12) on the $144,576 median estimated market value. Section-8-eligible rent ceiling; real-market rent typically exceeds FMR; excludes operating costs (taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, management).
- 70.0% of filings are Lien — the dominant lead category in Burke County during the observed window.
About Burke County
Burke County is a county in the U.S. state of North Carolina. It is part of the state's western mountain region, containing sections of the Blue Ridge Mountains including the Linville Gorge and South Mountains. As of the 2020 census, its population was 87,570. Its county seat is Morganton. Burke County is part of the Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC Metropolitan Statistical Area.
Source: Wikipedia
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1125 property-related court filings tracked across 31 months (Aug 2020 to Jul 2026).
33 typical monthly filing volume.
3% of filings involve owners whose mailing address differs from the property address (29 of 1125 filings).
$144,576 median estimated property value across the 281 filings with property-enrichment data (25% coverage).
3.5% North Carolina unemployment rate (BLS, as of 2026-05). Filings should be read against the local-economy backdrop.
Filing type breakdown
| Filing type | Filings | Share | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 848 | 75.4% | |
| Pre-Foreclosure | 82 | 7.3% | |
| Probate | 72 | 6.4% | |
| Tax Sale | 70 | 6.2% | |
| Divorce | 52 | 4.6% | |
| Real Estate Dispute | 1 | 0.1% |
Each row is a distinct case as recorded on the county docket.
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Monthly filing activity
| Month | Filings | vs prior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2020 | 6 | ||
| Sep 2020 | 15 | +9 | |
| Oct 2020 | 15 | 0 | |
| Dec 2020 | 4 | -11 | |
| Jan 2021 | 1 | -3 | |
| Mar 2024 | 3 | +2 | |
| Apr 2024 | 5 | +2 | |
| May 2024 | 2 | -3 | |
| Jul 2024 | 2 | 0 | |
| Sep 2024 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nov 2024 | 1 | -1 | |
| Dec 2024 | 2 | +1 | |
| Jan 2025 | 8 | +6 | |
| Feb 2025 | 1 | -7 | |
| Mar 2025 | 2 | +1 | |
| Apr 2025 | 5 | +3 | |
| May 2025 | 3 | -2 | |
| Jun 2025 | 2 | -1 | |
| Jul 2025 | 32 | +30 | |
| Aug 2025 | 107 | +75 | |
| Sep 2025 | 129 | +22 | |
| Oct 2025 | 42 | -87 | |
| Nov 2025 | 57 | +15 | |
| Dec 2025 | 81 | +24 | |
| Jan 2026 | 72 | -9 | |
| Feb 2026 | 92 | +20 | |
| Mar 2026 | 71 | -21 | |
| Apr 2026 | 72 | +1 | |
| May 2026 | 71 | -1 | |
| Jun 2026 | 92 | +21 | |
| Jul 2026 | 77 | -15 |
Each row reflects new filings entering the dataset that month, after ownership verification. Most recent month may be partial.
Geographic concentration by ZIP
Top 6 ZIPs in Burke County account for 4.2% of all tracked filings, showing where distressed real estate activity clusters.
| ZIP | City | Filings | Share | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28655 | Morganton | 24 | 2.1% | |
| 28612 | 10 | 0.9% | ||
| 28690 | Messer Rd. Valdese | 9 | 0.8% | |
| 28657 | 2 | 0.2% | ||
| 28601 | 1 | 0.1% | ||
| 28637 | Hildebran | 1 | 0.1% |
Based on filings with a parseable property address (4% of Burke County filings).
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Property value distribution
| Estimated value | Filings | Share | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under $75k | 42 | 14.9% | |
| $75k - $150k | 103 | 36.7% | |
| $150k - $250k | 90 | 32.0% | |
| $250k - $400k | 26 | 9.3% | |
| $400k+ | 20 | 7.1% |
Source: third-party property enrichment (25% coverage on Burke County filings). Median $144,576; mean $193,384.
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Day-of-week filing pattern
| Day | Filings | Share | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | 91 | 8.5% | |
| Mon | 368 | 34.3% | |
| Tue | 262 | 24.4% | |
| Wed | 138 | 12.8% | |
| Thu | 134 | 12.5% | |
| Fri | 60 | 5.6% | |
| Sat | 21 | 2.0% |
Filings show some weekend activity, suggesting after-hours electronic filing. Computed for 1074 filings with a parseable date.
Housing stock + distress signals
Underlying housing stock and distress indicators across all 40058 Burke County housing units, from US Census ACS 5-year data. National reference values shown for context.
| Indicator | Burke County | US average |
|---|---|---|
| Vacancy rate (incl. seasonal + for-sale) | 10.4% | 10.5% |
| Share of owner-occupied units carrying a mortgage | 52.6% | 60.8% |
| Pre-1940 housing stock | 8.0% | 12.3% |
| Single-family detached share of housing stock | 70.7% | 61.2% |
| Residents age 65 or older | 21.2% | 17.3% |
Source: US Census Bureau American Community Survey (ACS 2023 5-year). National reference values are ACS 2022 5-year US totals. Why these matter: vacancy rate is the strongest single proxy for distressed inventory; mortgage-carrying share defines the risk pool exposed to rate environment; pre-1940 stock signals deferred maintenance and renovation opportunity; senior population correlates with probate pipeline depth.
Rent benchmark (HUD Fair Market Rent)
HUD sets Fair Market Rents at the metro area level — the same FMRs apply to every county within the metro. Burke County sits within the Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC. Used to set Section 8 voucher amounts; investors use it as a defensible rent-estimate floor for buy-to-rent underwriting.
| Unit size | Fair market rent / month |
|---|---|
| Efficiency / studio | $858 |
| 1-bedroom | $908 |
| 2-bedroom | $1,095 |
| 3-bedroom | $1,372 |
| 4-bedroom | $1,660 |
Source: US Department of Housing and Urban Development, Fair Market Rents (None). 40th-percentile gross rent including utilities. Why this matters: Section-8-eligible tenants are a baseline demand floor for rental inventory at these price points; FMR is the official ceiling for voucher-eligible rents.
New construction (market momentum)
Annual building permits filed in Burke County from the US Census Building Permits Survey. Trend signal on whether new housing demand is accelerating or contracting in this market.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Total housing units permitted (2025) | 588 |
| Year-over-year change (2024 → 2025) | +39.3% |
| Single-family share of permits (2025) | 81.5% |
| Single-family units permitted | 479 |
| Multifamily units permitted (2+ units per building) | 109 |
Source: US Census Bureau Building Permits Survey, annual cumulative data. Why this matters: permits trending up signals strong demand for new inventory; permits contracting at the same time foreclosure activity rises indicates broader market softening (deals price differently). Multifamily share shows whether the market is densifying or holding to single-family stock.
Macro context: state home prices and national delinquency
Burke County filings should be read against the broader housing-market backdrop. North Carolina state home-price trend and the national mortgage-delinquency rate are the two macro signals most directly relevant to foreclosure exposure.
| Indicator | Value | Period |
|---|---|---|
| North Carolina home price index (year-over-year) | +2.4% | 2026-01-01 |
| North Carolina home price index (cumulative since 2020) | +72.0% | 2026-01-01 |
| National mortgage delinquency rate (30+ day, single-family) | 1.89% | 2026-01-01 |
Sources: Federal Housing Finance Agency state house price indices (FRED series NCSTHPI); Federal Reserve Board, Mortgage Delinquency 30+Day Rate on Single-Family Residential Mortgages (FRED series DRSFRMACBS). Updated quarterly. Free public data.
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Filing velocity by case type
How each distress category is trending — are foreclosures accelerating while divorces cool, or vice versa? This breakdown is only possible with direct court-record data.
| Case type | Total | Share | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lien | 787 | 70.0% | +5.8% |
| Pre-Foreclosure | 80 | 7.1% | -31.2% |
| Probate | 71 | 6.3% | +0.0% |
| Divorce | 52 | 4.6% | -91.1% |
| Eviction | 49 | 4.4% | -94.9% |
| Tax Sale | 22 | 2.0% | -25.0% |
| Contract | 6 | 0.5% | -- |
Trend = recent 2-3 month volume vs prior 2-3 months (current partial month excluded). Positive = accelerating; negative = cooling.
Seasonal filing patterns
Court filings peak in Aug and are lowest in Mar. The 2.2x peak-to-trough ratio suggests strong seasonal patterns — investors who time their outreach around Aug can reach more distressed homeowners.
| Month | Avg filings | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | 27 | 48% |
| Feb | 46.5 | 82% |
| Mar | 25.3 | 45% |
| Apr | 27.3 | 48% |
| May | 25.3 | 45% |
| Jun | 47 | 83% |
| Jul | 37 | 65% |
| Aug | 56.5 | 100% |
| Sep | 48.7 | 86% |
| Oct | 28.5 | 50% |
| Nov | 29 | 51% |
| Dec | 29 | 51% |
Average filings per calendar month across all observed years. Relative column shows each month as a percentage of the peak month (Aug), with a 2.2x peak-to-trough ratio.
ZIP code distress hotspots
Distress is geographically dispersed across 6 ZIP codes, with no single area dominating.
| ZIP | Area | Filings | Share | Median value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28655 | Morganton | 24 | 2.1% | $100,938 |
| 28612 | 10 | 0.9% | $81,633 | |
| 28690 | Messer Rd. Valdese | 9 | 0.8% | $83,869 |
| 28657 | 2 | 0.2% | $150,300 | |
| 28601 | 1 | 0.1% | $45,111 | |
| 28637 | Hildebran | 1 | 0.1% | -- |
Top 6 of 6 ZIP codes with filings.
Non-resident owner analysis
Most filings (97%) involve owner-occupied properties. The relatively low absentee rate suggests distress is primarily hitting homeowners, not institutional investors.
| Case type | Total filings | Non-resident % |
|---|---|---|
| Lien | 787 | 0.0% |
| Pre-Foreclosure | 82 | 1.2% |
| Probate | 72 | 0.0% |
| Tax Sale | 70 | 40.0% |
| Divorce | 52 | 0.0% |
| Eviction | 49 | 0.0% |
| Contract | 6 | 0.0% |
Non-resident = owner's mailing address differs from the property address. Could indicate out-of-state landlords, inherited estates, second homes, or in-transition properties.
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Distress composition and shifts
Lien share is rising. Divorce share is declining. Low diversity — distress is dominated by one or two case types, suggesting a concentrated driver.
| Case type | Recent share | Earlier share | Shift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lien | 90.5% | 70.1% | +20.4pp (rising) |
| Pre-Foreclosure | 5.9% | 7.7% | -1.8pp |
| Probate | 3.0% | 7.3% | -4.3pp |
| Eviction | 0.6% | 5.3% | -4.7pp |
| Divorce | 0.0% | 5.7% | -5.7pp (falling) |
| Contract | 0.0% | 0.7% | -0.7pp |
| Personal Property | 0.0% | 0.4% | -0.4pp |
| Tax Sale | 0.0% | 2.4% | -2.4pp |
| Real Estate Dispute | 0.0% | 0.1% | -0.1pp |
| Other | 0.0% | 0.2% | -0.2pp |
Distress diversity score: 0.57 (Shannon entropy; higher = more diverse distress sources). "Recent" = last 2 complete months; "Earlier" = all prior months.
Property Value Profile
The median assessed value of properties in court filings is $133,576. Divorce filings involve the highest-value properties (median $235,801), while Tax Sale filings trend lower (median $50,450). The largest segment (53.4%) falls in the $100K - $250K range.
| Value range | Properties | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Under $100K | 96 | 31.5% |
| $100K - $250K | 163 | 53.4% |
| $250K - $500K | 31 | 10.2% |
| $500K - $1M | 11 | 3.6% |
| Over $1M | 4 | 1.3% |
Value breakdown by case type
| Case type | Median value | Avg value | Properties |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lien | $148,028 | $191,534 | 231 |
| Tax Sale | $50,450 | $71,942 | 33 |
| Pre-Foreclosure | $117,738 | $113,471 | 12 |
| Probate | $143,727 | $157,511 | 11 |
| Divorce | $235,801 | $330,576 | 11 |
Based on county assessor records for 305 properties with court filings (27.1% of total filings). Values are tax-assessed amounts, not market listing prices.
Investment Opportunity Score by ZIP Code
Across 3 ZIP codes with sufficient court filing data, ZIP 28655 (Morganton) ranks highest with an investment opportunity score of 75/100, driven by high filing volume (24 cases).
| Rank | ZIP Code | Area | Score | Filings | Avg Value | Absentee % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 28655 | Morganton |
75
|
24 | — | 0% |
| #2 | 28690 | Valdese |
40
|
9 | — | 0% |
| #3 | 28612 | — |
27
|
10 | — | 0% |
How the score is calculated
The Investment Opportunity Score combines four dimensions from verified court filing data:
- Filing volume (35%): More filings = more potential deals in the area
- Property value (25%): Higher assessed values = larger potential deal sizes
- Absentee owner rate (25%): Absentee owners are more likely to sell at a discount
- Case type diversity (15%): Multiple case types = broader opportunity set
Each dimension is normalized to a 0–100 scale across all scored ZIPs, then weighted and combined. A score of 100 means that ZIP ranks highest across all dimensions. Scores should be compared within the same county or state, not across different markets.
Based on 1125 court filings across 3 ZIP codes. ZIPs with fewer than 3 filings are excluded. Property values from county assessor records. Absentee status from property ownership verification.
Distress Capital Analysis
$54,787,119 in assessed property value is currently tied up in 305 court-filed properties. Lien filings represent the largest capital pool ($44,244,457 across 231 properties).
Capital at Risk by Filing Type
| Filing Type | Total Value | Properties | Avg Value | High Equity % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lien | $44,244,457 | 231 | $191,534 | -- |
| Divorce | $3,636,336 | 11 | $330,576 | -- |
| Tax Sale | $2,374,094 | 33 | $71,942 | -- |
| Probate | $1,732,626 | 11 | $157,511 | -- |
| Pre-Foreclosure | $1,361,647 | 12 | $113,471 | -- |
| Eviction | $436,684 | 3 | $145,561 | -- |
Based on 305 properties with assessor valuations (27.1% of 1125 total filings). Values are county assessor estimates. Equity calculated from estimated value vs outstanding mortgage balance where available.
Market Absorption & Turnover Analysis
1,067 court filings tracked with 0 resolved (0.0% absorption rate). The court system is accumulating cases faster than they resolve, creating a growing backlog of 1,067 active cases.
| Month | New Filings | Resolved | Net | Inflow | Absorption |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2020 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 0.0% | |
| Sep 2020 | 13 | 0 | +13 | 0.0% | |
| Oct 2020 | 13 | 0 | +13 | 0.0% | |
| Dec 2020 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 0.0% | |
| Jan 2021 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0.0% | |
| Mar 2024 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 0.0% | |
| Apr 2024 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 0.0% | |
| May 2024 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 0.0% | |
| Jul 2024 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 0.0% | |
| Sep 2024 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 0.0% | |
| Nov 2024 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0.0% | |
| Dec 2024 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 0.0% | |
| Jan 2025 | 8 | 0 | +8 | 0.0% | |
| Feb 2025 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 0.0% | |
| Mar 2025 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 0.0% | |
| Apr 2025 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 0.0% | |
| May 2025 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 0.0% | |
| Jun 2025 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 0.0% | |
| Jul 2025 | 32 | 0 | +32 | 0.0% | |
| Aug 2025 | 107 | 0 | +107 | 0.0% | |
| Sep 2025 | 128 | 0 | +128 | 0.0% | |
| Oct 2025 | 42 | 0 | +42 | 0.0% | |
| Nov 2025 | 57 | 0 | +57 | 0.0% | |
| Dec 2025 | 81 | 0 | +81 | 0.0% | |
| Jan 2026 | 72 | 0 | +72 | 0.0% | |
| Feb 2026 | 91 | 0 | +91 | 0.0% | |
| Mar 2026 | 71 | 0 | +71 | 0.0% | |
| Apr 2026 | 71 | 0 | +71 | 0.0% | |
| May 2026 | 72 | 0 | +72 | 0.0% | |
| Jun 2026 | 92 | 0 | +92 | 0.0% | |
| Jul 2026 | 77 | 0 | +77 | 0.0% |
Resolution by Case Type
| Case Type | Filed | Resolved | Absorption | Avg Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lien | 779 | 0 | 0.0% | n/a |
| Pre-Foreclosure | 74 | 0 | 0.0% | n/a |
| Probate | 70 | 0 | 0.0% | n/a |
| Divorce | 52 | 0 | 0.0% | n/a |
| Eviction | 49 | 0 | 0.0% | n/a |
| Tax Sale | 22 | 0 | 0.0% | n/a |
| Other | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | n/a |
| Contract | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | n/a |
Absorption rate measures the percentage of filed cases that have reached a terminal resolution (judgment, dismissal, settlement, or sale). A low absorption rate indicates a growing backlog of active cases in the court system. Resolution timing based on 0 resolved cases out of 1067 total filings.
Case Aging & Stall Analysis
111 cases (10.4%) have been active for over a year without resolution. 75 filings in the last <30 days represent fresh opportunities.
| Age | Total | Resolved | Still active | Resolution rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| <30 days | 75 | 0 | 75 | 0.0% |
| 30-90 days | 162 | 0 | 162 | 0.0% |
| 3-6 months | 216 | 0 | 216 | 0.0% |
| 6-12 months | 503 | 0 | 503 | 0.0% |
| 1-2 years | 62 | 0 | 62 | 0.0% |
| 2+ years | 49 | 0 | 49 | 0.0% |
Resolution speed by case type
| Case type | Total | Resolved | Rate | Median days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lien | 779 | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Pre-Foreclosure | 74 | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Probate | 70 | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Divorce | 52 | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Eviction | 49 | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Tax Sale | 22 | 0 | 0.0% | — |
Case aging computed from filing date to present for unresolved cases. Resolution classified from court docket entries (judgments, settlements, dismissals, sheriff sales). Cases with a resolution event are removed from the stall count.
Quarterly Filing Volume Trends
Filing trends across 4 comparable quarters show 916 tracked filings in Burke County. Most recent quarter (2026 Q2: 235) was stable vs prior (2026 Q1: 234, +0.4%). Lien shows the largest composition shift, growing share from 65.3% to 90.2%.
| Quarter | Total | Lien | Divorce | Eviction | Pre-Foreclosure |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Q3 | 267 | 140 (52.4%) | 48 (18.0%) | 47 (17.6%) | 9 (3.4%) |
| 2025 Q4 | 180 | 152 (84.4%) | 2 (1.1%) | 1 (0.6%) | 12 (6.7%) |
| 2026 Q1 | 234 | 216 (92.3%) | — | — | 8 (3.4%) |
| 2026 Q2 | 235 | 207 (88.1%) | 2 (0.9%) | 1 (0.4%) | 17 (7.2%) |
Composition shift: Lien filings are growing share, moving from 65.3% to 90.2% of total filings (+24.9 percentage points).
Only comparable quarters shown (collection ramp-up periods excluded). Filing dates from verified court records. Current partial quarter excluded from trend calculations.
Property Value Distribution
The median property value in distressed filings is $134,179, with the largest concentration (24.0%) in the $100K–$150K range. Divorce filings have the highest median value ($235,801) while Tax Sale filings are lowest ($50,454).
| Price range | Count | Share | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under $50K | 48 | 15.8% | |
| $50K–$100K | 47 | 15.5% | |
| $100K–$150K | 73 | 24.0% | |
| $150K–$200K | 65 | 21.4% | |
| $200K–$300K | 42 | 13.8% | |
| $300K–$500K | 14 | 4.6% | |
| $500K+ | 15 | 4.9% |
Value by case type
| Case type | Median value | Average value | Properties |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lien | $148,028 | $191,534 | 231 |
| Tax Sale | $50,454 | $73,309 | 32 |
| Pre-Foreclosure | $116,876 | $113,470 | 12 |
| Probate | $143,727 | $157,511 | 11 |
| Divorce | $235,801 | $330,576 | 11 |
Assessed property values from county assessor records for 304 properties (27.2% of total filings). Values reflect tax-assessed amounts, not market price.
Repeat litigation patterns in Burke County
Of 959 unique property owners in court filings, 47 (4.9%) appear in multiple cases, including 7 with 3 or more filings. The most active repeat filer has 6 cases. Lien cases have the highest repeat rate at 6.4%.
Repeat rate by case type
| Case type | Repeat owners | Total owners | Repeat rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lien | 46 | 723 | 6.4% |
Analysis based on 959 unique owner names across court filings. Repeat filers are property owners appearing in 2 or more distinct cases.
Serial distressed properties in Burke County
Of 229 unique properties in court filings, 27 (11.8%) have multiple filings (averaging 2.1 filings per property). Average time between repeat filings: 3 months. Lien properties have the highest repeat rate at 18.9%.
Serial distress rate by case type
| Case type | Serial properties | Total properties | Serial rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lien | 27 | 143 | 18.9% |
Analysis based on 229 unique property addresses across court filings. Serial distressed properties have 2 or more distinct case filings at the same address.
Methodology and data sources
- Court filings are collected directly from Burke County court records, which are public information.
- This dataset is the court-filing archive as collected from the county docket. The owner-of-record match and the entity-owner screen are applied to delivered leads, not to these filing counts.
- Property value figures come from third-party enrichment (25% coverage on this dataset).
- Individual case data, defendant names, and property addresses are not published. Reports show aggregated statistics only.
- The methodology page at /reports/methodology documents data sources, sample sizes, and known limitations in detail.
- This report was generated 2026-08-03 from the live database. Numbers reflect the dataset at that moment.
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Cite: Keystone Court Data, "Burke County North Carolina Court Filings Intelligence," 2026-08-03, https://keystonecourtdata.com/reports/burke-nc-court-filings-intelligence · Download data (CSV)